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Vocabulary
predictionssolutionstheoretical probabilitysimple eventscompound events
Skills
  • make predictions (using theoretical probability for simple and compound events) #dok2
  • determine solutions (using theoretical probability for simple and compound events) #dok2
  • analyze (relationships between predictions and theoretical probabilities) #dok3
  • compare (theoretical probability outcomes for simple vs. compound events) #dok3
Learning Targets
  • I can identify and explain the theoretical probability of simple and compound events. #dok1
  • I can use theoretical probability to predict outcomes for a simple event. #dok2
  • I can solve mathematical problems using theoretical probability for compound events. #dok2
  • I can analyze how theoretical probability informs the solution to a compound probability question. #dok3
  • I can compare my predictions to actual outcomes and explain differences for simple and compound events. #dok3
Big Ideas
  • Theoretical probability is a tool for predicting and solving problems involving the likelihood of simple and compound events.
  • Understanding the difference between simple and compound events allows students to apply probability concepts to real-world and mathematical situations.
Essential Questions
  • How can theoretical probability help you predict what will happen in a given situation?
  • What is the difference between predicting outcomes for simple events and for compound events?
  • How do you use theoretical probability to determine the solution to a problem?
  • In what ways can theoretical probability and experimental probability differ?
  • Why is it important to compare predictions with actual outcomes in probability?