HS-ESS3-5 - Performance Expectation

Analyze geoscience data and the results from global climate models to make an evidence-based forecast of the current rate of global or regional climate change and associated future impacts to Earth systems.

High School · Next Generation Science Standards · NGSS Lead States 2013

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Vocabulary
geoscience dataglobal climate modelsevidence-based forecastcurrent rateglobal climate changeregional climate changefuture impactsEarth systems
Skills
  • analyze (geoscience data) #dok3
  • interpret (results from global climate models) #dok2
  • forecast (current rate of global or regional climate change) #dok3
  • explain (future impacts to Earth systems) #dok3
  • synthesize (evidence to make an evidence-based forecast) #dok4
Learning Targets
  • I can identify geoscience data relevant to climate change. #dok1
  • I can describe the purpose and function of global climate models. #dok1
  • I can interpret results from global climate models. #dok2
  • I can analyze geoscience data to determine climate change trends. #dok3
  • I can forecast the current rate of global or regional climate change based on data and model results. #dok3
  • I can explain possible future impacts to Earth systems resulting from climate change. #dok3
  • I can synthesize geoscience data and climate model results to make an evidence-based forecast of climate change and its impacts. #dok4
Big Ideas
  • Human understanding of climate change relies on analyzing geoscience data and interpreting global climate models to forecast future conditions.
  • Forecasts of climate change are critical for predicting and mitigating potential impacts on Earth systems at both global and regional scales.
Essential Questions
  • How do scientists use geoscience data and global climate models to forecast climate change?
  • What evidence supports the current rates of global and regional climate change?
  • In what ways might future climate change impact various Earth systems?
  • Why is it important to use an evidence-based approach when forecasting future climate impacts?
  • How can different types of geoscience data and modeling methods influence our understanding of climate change trends?